Thursday, August 07, 2025
All the Bits Fit to Print
A simplified model predicting AI automation's impact on jobs
Sebastián offers a simplified model predicting how AI automation will impact jobs over the next decade or so, focusing on full, partial, and non-automation scenarios.
Why it matters: AI will reshape job markets unevenly, with some roles disappearing, others partially automated, and some largely unaffected.
The big picture: Job impact depends on automation level, demand elasticity, and how barriers to entry evolve post-automation.
Quick takeaway: Partially automated jobs with elastic demand and high entry barriers, like advanced programming, may see sustained or rising salaries.
Commenters say: Readers discuss the importance of adopting AI early, the nuances of job protection laws, and the need for strategic career pivots.