The Digital Press

AI development is entering a new phase where smaller, specialized models with reasoning and reinforcement learning will dominate before any true artificial general intelligence (AGI) emerges. The timeline anticipates a rapid adoption of practical AI by 2026, widespread emulated AI systems by 2028, and the eventual arrival of a limited but unprecedented AGI around 2030.

Why it matters: Specialized smaller models with improved accuracy will unlock real-world AI applications, surpassing large generalist models in deployment value.

The big picture: By 2028, AI will shift from labs to consumer and industrial ecosystems, with emulated environments driving sector-specific automation.

Stunning stat: OpenAI is projected to reach 2 billion users and a $3 trillion valuation by 2028, surpassing Meta as a media giant.

Commenters say: Readers highlight confusion over AGI definitions, debating whether current models already qualify and questioning what true AGI entails in practice.