Friday, October 10, 2025

The Digital Press

All the Bits Fit to Print

Ruby Web Development Artificial Intelligence Urban Planning
Astronomy

Coding AIs Overconfident When Least Competent, Study Finds

Study finds coding AIs often overestimate abilities in unfamiliar languages

From Hacker News Original Article Hacker News Discussion

New research reveals that coding AIs like ChatGPT exhibit the Dunning-Kruger Effect, showing highest confidence when their programming skills are weakest, especially in obscure languages. This overconfidence raises concerns about trust and reliability in AI-generated code.

Why it matters: Overconfident AIs risk misleading users, causing wasted time or errors, with limited accountability for mistakes.

The big picture: AI models mirror human biases, overestimating abilities in unfamiliar tasks, complicating deployment in diverse coding environments.

Stunning stat: Overconfidence peaks in rare programming languages, with confidence scores reaching as high as 0.797 despite poor accuracy.

Commenters say: Many express frustration over AI certainty in wrong answers and emphasize the need for clearer confidence calibration and error awareness in code-generation tools.